Why Ratio Analysis?
Ratio analysis transforms raw financial numbers into meaningful insights. For financial modeling, ratios help you:
- Compare companies of different sizes (TCS vs. smaller IT firms)
- Track performance over time (trend analysis)
- Benchmark against industry standards
- Build model assumptions for projections
- Identify red flags before investing
For Financial Modeling
Ratios form the foundation of model assumptions. Historical ratios (margins, turnover, leverage) are analyzed to project future financial statements.
Profitability Ratios
Measure how efficiently a company generates profits from its operations, assets, and equity.
Profitability Ratios
Essential for valuation and earnings quality assessment in financial models
A. Margin Ratios
Gross Profit Margin
Measures production/service efficiency. Higher = better cost management.
TCS Example (FY24)
EBITDA Margin
Operating profitability before non-cash expenses. Key valuation metric.
TCS Example (FY24)
Net Profit Margin
Bottom-line profitability. What percentage of revenue becomes profit.
TCS Example (FY24)
B. Return Ratios
Return on Equity (ROE)
Return generated on shareholders' capital. Most important profitability metric for investors.
TCS Example (FY24)
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
Return on all capital invested (equity + debt). Better for comparing leveraged companies.
TCS Example (FY24)
Return on Assets (ROA)
How efficiently assets generate profits. Asset-light companies (IT) have higher ROA.
TCS Example (FY24)
Modeling Tip: Margin Projections
When building financial models, analyze 5-year margin trends. For TCS: EBITDA margins stable at 24-26%. Project margins based on management guidance and competitive pressures. Employee cost as % of revenue is the key driver for IT companies.
Leverage Ratios
Assess financial risk by measuring the company's debt levels and ability to service debt obligations.
Leverage / Solvency Ratios
Critical for assessing bankruptcy risk and cost of capital in valuation
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Measures financial leverage. Higher ratio = higher financial risk but potentially higher returns.
TCS Example (FY24)
Interest Coverage Ratio
Ability to pay interest from operating profits. Below 1.5 indicates distress.
TCS Example (FY24)
Debt-to-EBITDA
Years needed to repay debt using EBITDA. Key metric for credit rating agencies.
TCS Example (FY24)
Debt-to-Assets Ratio
Percentage of assets financed by debt. Lower = more financial stability.
TCS Example (FY24)
Fixed Charge Coverage
Ability to meet all fixed obligations. More comprehensive than Interest Coverage.
TCS Example (FY24)
Red Flags in Leverage
Watch out for: Rising D/E over years, ICR falling below 2, Debt/EBITDA >4, High promoter pledging (>25% of holdings). These indicate potential financial distress.
Modeling Tip: Cost of Debt
For WACC calculation, use effective interest rate from annual report: Interest Expense / Average Debt. TCS's cost of debt is ~6-7%. Low leverage companies like TCS have lower WACC due to minimal debt component.
Operating / Efficiency Ratios
Measure how efficiently a company manages its operations, working capital, and assets.
Operating / Efficiency Ratios
Key drivers of cash flow and working capital requirements in models
A. Working Capital Ratios
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
Average days to collect payment from customers. Lower = better cash collection.
TCS Example (FY24)
Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)
Days to sell inventory. Low for IT companies (service-based), high for manufacturing.
TCS Example (FY24)
Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)
Days to pay suppliers. Higher = better (using supplier credit as free financing).
TCS Example (FY24)
Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC)
TCS Cash Conversion Cycle
TCS collects cash in ~26 days after paying suppliers - excellent working capital efficiency!
For Modeling
CCC is critical for projecting working capital in financial models. Use historical DSO, DIO, DPO trends. Negative CCC (like Amazon) means suppliers fund operations!
B. Asset Turnover Ratios
Asset Turnover
Revenue generated per rupee of assets. Higher = more efficient asset utilization.
TCS Example (FY24)
Fixed Asset Turnover
Revenue per rupee of fixed assets. IT companies have high FAT (asset-light model).
TCS Example (FY24)
Revenue per Employee
Productivity measure for service companies. Higher = better employee productivity.
TCS Example (FY24)
Modeling Tip: Working Capital Projection
In financial models, project Trade Receivables = (DSO/365) × Revenue, Inventory = (DIO/365) × COGS, Trade Payables = (DPO/365) × COGS. Use historical averages or management guidance for DSO/DIO/DPO assumptions.
Valuation Ratios
Determine if a stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued relative to peers and market.
Valuation / Market Ratios
Essential for investment decisions and relative valuation in models
Price-to-Earnings (P/E)
Price paid per rupee of earnings. Higher P/E = growth expectations or overvaluation.
TCS Example
Price-to-Book (P/B)
Market value vs. accounting book value. P/B > 3 indicates intangible value/growth.
TCS Example
EV/EBITDA
Capital-structure neutral valuation. Better for comparing companies with different debt levels.
TCS Example
Dividend Yield
Annual dividend as % of price. Higher yield = more income-focused investment.
TCS Example
PEG Ratio
P/E adjusted for growth. PEG < 1 = undervalued, PEG > 2 = overvalued.
TCS Example
Price-to-Sales (P/S)
Useful for valuing unprofitable companies. Lower = cheaper relative to sales.
TCS Example
Indian IT Sector: Valuation Comparison (FY24)
| Company | P/E | P/B | EV/EBITDA | ROE | Div Yield | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCS | 39.3 | 9.8 | 23.0 | 25.0% | 3.4% | Premium |
| Infosys | 24.5 | 6.8 | 15.2 | 24.2% | 2.8% | Fair |
| Wipro | 21.3 | 3.5 | 12.8 | 16.5% | 2.1% | Attractive |
| HCL Tech | 22.8 | 5.2 | 13.5 | 22.1% | 3.8% | Value |
| Tech Mahindra | 18.5 | 3.8 | 10.2 | 18.2% | 2.5% | Value |
Analysis Insight
TCS trades at a premium valuation due to consistent performance, strong cash flows, and high dividend payouts. For value investing, HCL Tech and Tech Mahindra offer better valuations with decent ROE.
Modeling Tip: Terminal Value Multiples
For DCF valuation, use exit multiples based on industry averages. IT companies typically use EV/EBITDA of 12-15x as terminal multiple. P/E is more volatile and less preferred for terminal value.
DuPont Analysis
Decompose ROE into component drivers to understand what's driving returns.
DuPont Formula - Breaking Down ROE
Net Profit Margin
Measures profitability. TCS's 14.3% shows strong cost control in IT services.
Asset Turnover
Measures efficiency. 1.3x shows TCS generates ₹1.3 revenue per ₹1 of assets.
Financial Leverage
Assets/Equity = 1.34x. Low leverage shows conservative capital structure.
DuPont Insight
TCS's ROE is driven primarily by high profit margins and asset efficiency, not leverage. This is sustainable. Companies with high ROE from leverage alone (Financial Leverage > 3x) carry higher risk.
Ratio Calculator
Calculate key financial ratios for any Indian company
Key Takeaways
Profitability: Focus on ROE (>15%), ROCE (>12%), and EBITDA Margin trends. TCS excels with 25% ROE driven by margins, not leverage.
Leverage: Debt/Equity <0.5 for IT is safe. Interest Coverage >5 is comfortable. Watch for rising leverage trends.
Operating: DSO, DIO, DPO drive working capital. Cash Conversion Cycle shows operational efficiency. TCS CCC: ~26 days.
Valuation: Use P/E for profitability comparison, EV/EBITDA for leverage-neutral analysis, P/B for asset-heavy firms.
DuPont: Decompose ROE to understand drivers. Sustainable ROE comes from margins and efficiency, not leverage.
Modeling: Historical ratios form assumption base. Project margins, turnover, and working capital days for integrated models.
References & Tools
📚 Textbooks
- Investment Analysis - Reilly & Brown (Page 345-380)
- Financial Statement Analysis - Penman
- Financial Modeling - Benninga
🌐 Indian Resources
- Screener.in - Free ratio analysis
- Moneycontrol - Peer comparison
- NSE - Company financials